This study evaluated the safety performance of bioptic drivers based on near-collision incidents in naturalistic driving. This method was used previously to evaluate the driving safety of cognitively impaired drivers
16 who showed a higher probability of near-collision than the same control group. In this study we did not find a significant difference in the survival time to near-collision between bioptic drivers and the control group. The near-collision OR of bioptic drivers was not statistically significant either.
The OR analysis had one limitation—the visually impaired participants (bioptic group) and the control group participants were not matched for age and driving exposure. The driving exposure of visually impaired drivers was greater than for the control drivers, which would cause their odds of near-collision to be overestimated. They were also slightly younger than the control group. According to the US Department of Transportation (USDOT),
27 the collision rate is slightly higher for the age group represented by the bioptic drivers in our sample (50–59) than for the age group (70–79) represented by the control drivers, although the overall the USDOT data do show collision rates generally increase with age. We think that the slight difference in the collision rate (315 vs. 301) between the two age groups is negligible when considering the data from this study. The fact that the bioptic driver group had a point estimate for the OR of near-collision that was greater than one (although not statistically significant, OR = 2.88,
P = 0.18) may be partially due to their greater driving exposure compared with the control group.
After controlling for age and driving exposure, the Cox hazard regression analysis of near-collisions did not show any significant difference between the two groups, although the point estimate of the hazard ratio was higher than 1 (HR = 1.93, P = 0.591). Future studies should include a larger sample size and longer follow-up to confirm the hazard ratio observed in this study. In other words, if there was indeed a real difference, it was not large enough to be confirmed by the 20 bioptic drivers and 19 control subjects in this study. Based on the preliminary data obtained in this study, we estimate that one would need about 49 bioptic drivers and 49 control subjects to be recorded for six months to confirm the HR = 2 of bioptic drivers to be statistically significant.
Besides the statistical significance of an effect, effect size is an important consideration. To interpret the data from a geriatrics perspective, we compared the data with our previous study in which we found cognition to be a significant factor for driving safety. In that study, the hazard ratio of predicted collision for older adult drivers with normal vision but mild cognitive impairment was about 6, using the same control group as in this study.
16 An HR around 6 is considered to be a large effect size in epidemiologic studies.
28 When all three groups of drivers (control, bioptic, and cognitively impaired) were pooled together, cognitive impairment was the only significant risk factor predicting collision, with an HR of 3.86 (
P = 0.036). On the contrary, visually impaired bioptic drivers were not at a higher risk compared with normally sighted drivers that included cognitively impaired people (HR = 0.47,
P = 0.317). Therefore we speculate that poor visual acuity may be a relatively small risk factor compared with cognitive impairment.
Additionally, reviewing the videos of the near-collision incidents (See the screenshots in
Table 1), we could not identify any incidents clearly due to an inability to discern hazardous obstacles. The bioptic driver with the worst visual acuity, 20/160, should be able to resolve an object which contains high contrast detail subtending eight minutes of arc. However, according to our observations, all of the obstacles (2.7 degrees, or 162 minutes of arc, and above) that played significant roles in the incidents were much larger than the bioptic drivers’ resolution limits when they became hazardous. Although the contrast of those obstacles was not as high as letters on a visual acuity chart (see
Table 1), the bioptic drivers should not have needed to use their telescopes to spot these obstacles if they used their best retinal locus to look at them. It appeared to us that the perception and judgment errors of bioptic drivers were similar in nature to those of control subjects—they all failed to see obstacles because of inattention.
Another possible explanation for bioptic drivers’ performance is that visually impaired drivers might compensate for their low visual acuity through self-control of driving behaviors. The driving error analysis showed that bioptic drivers were more cautious than normally sighted drivers, including stopping fully at stop signs and not engaging in distracting activities.
As in some of the previous studies,
7–9 our naturalistic study did not find that the likelihood of visually impaired bioptic drivers being involved in collisions was considerably greater than that of normally sighted drivers. These results, taken together with the fact that the bioptic drivers spend an overwhelming majority of their driving time under low visual acuity conditions (i.e., not looking through the telescope),
6 raise an important question about the role of vision in driving—Isn't visual acuity crucial for driving? More than four decades ago, Feinbloom
29 recruited 12 normally-sighted drivers, fitted them with fogging lens to reduce their visual acuity to about 20/225, and then let them drive for a week. Those subjects reported no difficulty in driving in city traffic or avoiding obstacles such as small animals. Despite the lack of a control group, this study seemed to suggest that visual acuity was not as crucial as many people think.
We believe that, if one studies visual acuity across a wide range, from normal to blind, it is likely that there is a strong correlation between visual acuity and motor vehicle collision. However, if we study driving safety within a smaller range, for instance, within the normal vision range, or from normal (e.g., 20/20) to moderate vision loss (e.g., slightly worse than 20/40) as typically allowed by most states, the effect size of vision (often quantified as visual acuity) may be too small to detect. The study by Rubin et al.
30 enrolled 1801 older drivers, among which 97% had vision better than 20/40, and visual acuity was not found to be associated with motor vehicle collision according their survival analysis. The study by Cross et al.
31 enrolled 3158 older drivers, which included the participants in the study by Rubin et al.,
30 and 96% of the drivers had vision better than 20/40. Visual acuity was still not found to be a factor predicting motor vehicle collision. In a comprehensive review, Owsley and McGwin
32 concluded that “visual acuity is, at best, very weakly linked to driver safety (i.e., collision involvement).” This conclusion should be interpreted as referring to a certain range of visual acuity. Dougherty et al.
13 specifically studied the driving records of 237 bioptic drivers in Ohio, whose vision ranged from 20/50 to 20/250 (median 20/120), and did not find visual acuity to be related to annual motor vehicle collision rate. These seemingly unexpected findings motivated us to investigate whether, by enrolling subjects with a large range of visual acuity (from normal to legally blind by U.S. standards) and adjusting for driving exposure, we could find a significant effect of visual acuity on collisions.
Although the finding from the small sample in this study still needs to be confirmed by future studies, it raises questions regarding the validity of existing visual acuity requirements for driver licensure at 20/40 in the United States or 20/20 in Italy. The findings suggest that it is necessary to look beyond vision when considering driving fitness. Statistics showed that the crash rate of drivers under age 18 in the United States is at least four times higher than for drivers between ages 30 to 79,
27 and our findings that the HR of older drivers with mild cognitive impairment may be as high as six compared with age-matched normal control subjects.
16 Considering the large impacts of age and cognition on driving safety, it might not be a groundless consideration from an ethical perspective to relax the visual acuity requirement for licensure. If the visual acuity requirement could be relaxed to a certain degree based on scientific evidence, many people with visual impairment would benefit from the change.
In reality, there is an ethical barrier preventing researchers from studying driving safety in naturalistic settings in drivers with visual acuity far below the licensure thresholds. Considering the very low rate of use of bioptic telescopes in their driving,
6 investigating this unique population of drivers can help us to better understand the role of vision in driving in general, that is, bioptic drivers can serve as a cohort for researchers to ethically and legally study the role of vision in driving in natural real-world environments.
Some studies have suggested other visual functions to be correlated with collisions. For instance, Rubin et al.
30 and Cross et al.
31 reported that visual field loss and useful field of view were associated with collisions. Owsley et al.
33 found that contrast sensitivity in patients with cataract was associated collisions. Previous studies have also suggested that motion perception may also play an important role in driving hazard perception.
34–36 These visual functions should be evaluated in future naturalistic driving studies.