To be applied in a screening environment, a RW-RDB must exhibit results that can be interpreted with very high specificity. Even a false-positive rate of 1% might be too high to make the screening of a large population cost effective.
16–19 A larger RW-RDB should improve screening. First, with a large database, methods can be developed for identifying healthy eyes at the lower end of the normal distribution, as discussed earlier. Second, it holds the potential to improve accuracy, as highlighted previously. Notably, the 0.5% cutoff line in
Figure 4B is not parallel with the other cutoffs, suggesting that a RDB larger than 4.9K might be needed to enable lower percentile cutoffs that are more suited for screening.
OCT information is potentially available from millions of individuals worldwide who seek refractive care and screening services at optometry practices. Thus, as an alternative to the improved regression analysis discussed above, a separate RW-RDB could, in principle, be formed for diverse populations based on factors such as sex, ethnic background, refractive error (e.g., high myopes), age, and anatomical features (e.g., FtD distance). Taking age as an example, the importance of screening individuals over 70 years of age has grown with increased longevity, particularly for diseases that become more prevalent with age, such as glaucoma. By design, the 4.9K RW-RDB had more older eyes than the 398 RDB. In the 398 RDB, there were only 40 (10.1%) ≥ 70 years, compared to 724 (14.7%) in the 4.9K RW-RDB. More accurate cut-off values of healthy eyes, with tighter confidence bands, are thus possible with the larger databases, such as the one proposed here, especially when covariates, such as age and disc size, are needed. Given the challenges of scanning older subjects with factors such as smaller pupils, cataracts, and epiretinal membranes, we speculate that establishing a separate RDB specifically for those over 70 years of age could significantly increase diagnostic accuracy in this age group.